OpinionPolitics

French election 2024: How will it impact the world order?

The 1789 French revolution played a significant role in shaping modern history. Is History repeating itself?

MONDAY July 1, 2024

Supporters of French far right leader Marine Le Pen react after the release of projections based on the actual vote count in select constituencies, Sunday, June 30, 2024 in Henin-Beaumont, northern France. French voters propelled the far-right National Rally to a strong lead in first-round legislative elections Sunday and plunged the country into political uncertainty, according to polling projections. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus)

By Adam Musa

Tranquility News Correspondent, North America

NEW YORK – Just like the 1789 French Revolution, the current political events in France are causing a ripple effect in Western Europe and the continent of North America. It would be prudent for one to say that pragmatism is being replaced with panic and apprehension.

People gather in Lyon, central France, to protest the far-right National Rally, which came out strongly ahead in first-round legislative elections, Sunday, June 30, 2024. France’s high-stakes legislative elections propelled the far-right National Rally to a strong but not decisive lead in the first-round vote Sunday, polling agencies projected, dealing another slap to centrist President Emmanuel Macron.(AP Photo.Laurent Cipiriani).

Napoleon Bonaparte once said: “victory belongs to the most preserving.” After enduring so many losses in the past, Marine Le Pen’s far right political party, the National Rally (RN) has finally secured a projected win of approximately 34 per cent of the national vote that could lead to power.

 

For a long time, the liberals have exercised over confidence in their “theme” of globalization/global village. However, the unplanned influx of immigrants to western countries; economic crisis in some western countries; and cultural insecurity has created a sense of despair, suspicion and  political lacuna amongst certain groups living in these stable democracies. With France being an example of a bigger picture, these pattern of events have paved way for the alternative: The far right – NR party of Mrs Le Pen and her protege, Mr Bardella.

“I am to be prime minister for all the French people, if the French give us their votes,” said Mr Bardella. Meanwhile, his mentor, Mrs Le Pen has promised to carry on with her political career and vowing that she would never abandon the French people.

Far-right National Rally party president Jordan Bardella delivers his speech after the first round vote of the legislative election, Sunday, June 30, 2024 in Paris. France’s high-stakes legislative elections propelled the far-right National Rally to a strong but not decisive lead in the first-round vote Sunday, polling agencies’ projected, dealing another slap to centrist President Emmanuel Macron after his risky decision to call voters back to the polls for the second time in three weeks. (AP Photo/Aurelien Morissard)

Of course, it is not yet over until it is over. If the Centrist party of the incumbent, Emmanuel Macron that is projected to secure only 20 per cent of the national vote in the first round, manages to unite with the New Popular Front party (projected to secure 28 per cent in the first round; making it second to NR), and other political stakeholders to be involved in a potential second round election  scheduled for July 7, then the possibility of hampering any would be prospects of Mrs Le Pen and Mr Bardella’s NR party from gaining the ultimate power and control of the French government could yield. Regardless, the apparent trend of events is highlighting the French political intricacies in a capricious way.

French President Emmanuel Macron and his wife Brigitte Macron leave the voting booth before voting in Le Touquet-Paris-Plage, northern France, Sunday, June 30, 2024. (Yara Nardi, Pool via AP)

The stakes are so high due to the importance of NATO alliance; the EU; the Russian war in Ukraine; and the unpredictable outcome of the upcoming presidential election in the United States this November.

But one should not forget, although the French Revolution of 1789 was part of the major foundation of modern history, it played a pivotal role in shaping the current European and global politics. Additionally, due to historically unresolved grudges amongst the major powers, it partly induced the causes of the 1st and the 2nd World War.

Meanwhile, the little bird hopes that the current political events in France will not cause shockwaves that may create a new world order. After all, no sober mind would wish to start a conversation of an armageddon or engage in a simulation of a 3rd World War because French local politics is setting the tone. Enough is enough!

People gather at Republique square to protest the far-right National Rally, which came out strongly ahead in first-round legislative elections, Sunday, June 30, 2024 in Paris. France’s high-stakes legislative elections propelled the far right National Rally to a strong but not decisive lead in the first-round vote Sunday, polling agencies projected, dealing another slap to centrist President Emmanuel Macron. (AP Photo/Louise Delmotte)

As the French people engage in their 2024 elections, the world is keenly observing. So, the ball is in the hands of the French people and their politicians as they prepare for a second-round vote on July 7. Whether at a micro or macro level, the French people can either save the world order or endanger the future of global democracyΩ

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